THE EARTH’S WATER; WHERE DID
IT COME FROM?
By T.Frank Lee, geologist, MAppSc. BSc., etc., 102 Mill Street,
Ballarat, 3350,Victoria, Australia.
Any hypothesis developed to explain the origin and development of the
Solar System must be able to give a satisfactory explanation of why Earth has
such a high percentage of water compared to the other “silicate” planets and
satellites. The Single Body Breakup
Hypothesis must therefore be able to give one.
The following description, taken from my 1994 book, gives an outline of
how I attacked the problem and the conclusions that were reached. Here and there throughout what follows I add
brief comments on later work done on the problem.
In Section 3, subsection 3(e), and beginning on p.177. Let us now turn to the atmospheres of Venus, Earth, and
Mars. It has been proposed above (e.g.
p145) that the atmospheres were captured (or largely captured) by the planets
after stripping of the planets and immediately before ejection. If this is true then it is not valid to
compare abundances of the various gases of the planets using gramme of
atmosphere per gramme of planet. Instead it is required to compare atmosphere
percentages of one planet to another.
(Note that this mirrors the argument of Shukolyukov for the noble
gases.) I shall now do this using the
three major gases N2, CO2, and H2O. These make up almost the whole of the
atmospheres.
In the paper of Oyama et al (1979), in
Table 3, is given the measured mixing ratios of the various gases in the three
planetary atmospheres as now exists.
This table gives in part:
Gas Venus Earth Mars
N2 0.034 0.78 0.027
CO2
0.96
0.00033 0.953
H2O
0.014* 1x10-2 1x10-3 * should read 0.0014
If only N2 and CO2 are
considered, the inclination is to suggest a relationship between Venus and
Mars. Earth is quite different. If the hypothesis is correct, and as it
suggests that the three planets obtained their atmospheres from near locations,
then the Earth’s great difference must be due to some later event. This will be investigated below. But before doing so consider adjustments to
the gases as given by Oyama et al.
These adjustments were made to account for possible/probable gases in
near-surface reservoirs such as Earth’s oceans and limestone, and they listed
the results as the ratios of the respective gas per planetary mass. The values for the three gases being
considered in gm per gm are:
Gas Venus Earth Mars
Minimum Maximum
N2 2.1x10-6 2x10-6 1.9x10-8 to
1.2x10-7
CO2 9.5x10-5 7x10-5 7.0x 10-7 to 4.9x10-6
H2O 5.7x10-8 1.6x10-4 4.5x10-6
to 3.2x10-5
These ratios have been taken and multiplied
by planet mass to give the individual gas masses as follows (in kg):
N2 1. 0227x1019 1.196x1019
1.216x1016 7.680x1016
CO2 4.6265x1020 4.186x1020
4.480x1017
3.136x1018
H2O 2.7759x1017 9.568x1020
2.88x1018
6.40x1018
Making the assumption that the three gases
summed to 100% for each planet (closely true) then the gas percentages obtained
are:
Percentages
Gas Venus Earth Mars
Minimum
case Maximum case Average
N2 2.16
0.86
0.36 0.80 0.58
CO2 97.78
30.17
13.41 32.62 23.02
H2O 0.09
68.97
86.22 66.58 76.40
These values are much more random than the
raw atmosphere values; and if they suggest any sort of relationship it is
between Earth and Mars. However, if H2O
is deleted, and only N2 and CO2 are compared, then a
totally different picture emerges.
Venus
CO2/(CO2 + N2) =
97.837%
Earth CO2/(CO2 + N2) =
97.222%
Mars
CO2/(CO2 + N2) =
97.357% minimum case
97.610% maximum
case. Average 97.484%
The
arguments given in the next five paragraphs are no longer valid and the formula given has been typed
incorrectly and so is wrong. In its
place I give here:
Of
course the data must be considered too approximate to permit a definite
quantitative relationship of the values between the three planets but quite
clearly it does give a qualitative relationship: Venus ejection position (e.p.) nearest to the centre of
protoJupiter 10748 km; Mars e.p. 11309 km; Earth e.p. 23176 km have the same
sequence as their CO2/(CO2 + N2) values.
The hypothesis thus gives an explanation for the variation.
How then to explain the water contents of
Earth and Mars by use of the hypothesis?
p.180
In the literature accepting the planetesimal (nebula) theory a
terrestrial planet’s present atmosphere “—must have been produced almost
entirely by outgassing –“ (Wood, 1979 p.82) or “--, because materials added
later (as planetesimals and/or comets)
came as solid ices, which H2O, CO2, NH3 could
be, --“ (Hoyle, 1978, p.37. See also
Owen et al, 1992) or as mass fractionation and differential escape of an
originally solar composition gas envelope (Hunten et al, 1987) or preferably by
a combination of methods as one alone does not fully explain known data. The hypothesis offered in this paper allows
a similar mechanism as planetesimal collision but requiring limiting
conditions.
According to the hypothesis the satellites
would have initially formed three rings (a
better term would be annulus. F.L) (Section 1, p.61). The outer ring consisted of a limited number
of fairly large, medium density bodies, the middle ring consisted of three
(perhaps four) “silicate” bodies, and the inner ring consisted of many, mostly
small, low density bodies. Ejection of
these groups of bodies was inner ring, outer ring and silicate ring. (The sequence has since been shown to be
inner ring, then the silicate and outer rings simultaneously. F.L.,2009) Saturn captured many of the low density
satellites while it still remained near protoJupiter. (That is why its satellites
have a low density compared with those of Uranus) Mars, as it passed outwards through the rings, had the highest
chance of colliding with or of capturing a satellite in the inner ring but its
relatively small size would have required small bodies and optimum conditions
e.g. very near passing). Its two satellites
may be the cores of two satellites, their volatiles (as “ices” having been lost
(to Mars) after capture. The chance of capturing one of the larger,
heavier bodies in the middle and outer rings would be small, and collision even
smaller.
Uranus and Earth were the next
ejected. Immediately before ejection
Uranus would have formed a bulge on the side of protJupiter so that as Uranus
began moving outwards the satellites would possibly have initially moved along
paths of dumbbell outline. At first
thought it might be assumed there would have been a very large number of
collisions but distortion of the satellite paths would more likely mean few
collisions but common captures. Uranus
being massive, and not travelling at a great speed relative to protoJupiter,
would be expected to have captured a number of the now less numerous inner
satellites and would have had a high possibility of picking up one or two of
the far fewer satellites in the middle and outer rings.
Earth, travelling nearly three times as
fast as Uranus, and being smaller would have been much less likely to capture
or collide with a satellite. However it
would not have distorted the satellite path as Uranus would have but tended to
pass through, increasing the chance of collision; and at an orbit of 2RJ,
the satellites would have been moving at nearly the same speed as Earth and so
have increased the possibility of collision and capture. (The
satellite speeds would have been greater.)
After Uranus and Earth came Neptune and at
the same time Venus followed by Mercury.
Neptune is a little more massive than Uranus but was ejected at a
greater velocity. It would also have
passed through rings containing less satellites than existed previous to it,
many already having been captured. It
should be expected, then, that Neptune would have captured less satellites than
Uranus.
Venus moved outwards faster than Earth and
Mercury even faster. Its speed,
together with there being less satellites present, would have meant Venus would
have had a lower chance of collision or capture, even though its mass is
approximately that of Earth. Mercury’s
very high speed and its very small mass would have made capture or collision
very unlikely.
If a collision were to take place as the
terrestrial planets were being ejected the most likely one to be involved would
have been Earth because of mass, ejection speed, and number of satellites
present at the time. Let us assume that
a collision of a satellite did take place with the Earth and that the collision
occurred in the most likely ring, the inner ring. The body in this case would have been dominantly H2O
with a silicate (probably hydrous silicate) core and would have been of a mass
to place it within the inner ring.
Assume that all Earth’s water is due to collision and retention of the
satellite. (This assumption allows for
the mass of the water probably present in Earth before the collision to offset
the mass of the silicate core of the satellite.) Then the mass of the satellite would have been 9.568x1020
kg. This is a little less than the mass
of Dione, a satellite of Saturn. Dione
is a low density (1.430 S.G.) “icy” satellite having a mass of 10.5x1020
kg and a radius of 560 km; and in
Section 1 has been placed in the inner ring.
That is, if such a collision occurred the body would have been
approximately 1/6250th the mass of the Earth, approximately 1/12th
the Earth’s radius, and travelling at about 2˝x the Earth’s speed (about 43
kmsec-1). It would have been
an incompetent body striking a probably plastic body (but the surface almost certainly had a skin of solid silicate. F.L). The collision could have been a source of
comets (but not the only source). Of
course it is possible that more than one collision occurred but the one body
lies within the necessary parameters.
Thus only one collision is required for the hypothesis to account for
the atmospheres of the three terrestrial planets Venus, Earth, and Mars. (See the sub-section “The Probability of
Collision or Capture of a protoJupiter satellite by a Terrestrial Planet for a
continuation of this argument.)
p.231
THE PROBABILITY OF COLLISION OR CAPTURE OF A PROTOJUPITER SATELLITE
BY A TERRESTRIAL PLANET – ORIGIN OF THE EARTH-MOON COUPLE?
Strictly speaking this small sub-section
should not appear in Section 2 of this paper.
It is not a presentation of data, or other people’s opinions, which
support the hypothesis, as it should by rights be. However, it seems appropriate to present it after the material
dealing with the suggested origin of the terrestrial planets atmospheres. What follows is an attempt with the crudest
of mathematics, first to show that the probability of collision of a light
density satellite of protoJupiter with Earth was sufficiently high for it to be
accepted that such an event could have and probably did take place, second to
show that a similar event could and possibly does account for the Earth having
a satellite.
The calculations are crude, probably so
greatly so as to cause amusement and contempt by those knowledgeable in
celestial mechanics. May they have the
tolerance towards one who does not have the knowledge and at the same time sees
no necessity to learn it and spend the great amounts of time required for
accurate calculations at a point when probably not yet needed. After all, the intention of this paper is to
direct the attention of others to data which suggests a quite different origin
of the Solar System than currently accepted in the variants of the Planetesimal
(Nebula) theory, and to present data
from a large number of fields that appear to support the hypothesis
offered. To attempt a detailed proof in
any particular branch would defeat the aim of this paper, so I consider it
sufficient in this really small, immediate matter to merely point out in the
crudest way that probability of collision and capture was high. Just how high I leave to others to
determine, should they think the hypothesis has sufficient merit to warrant
such calculations.
It has been suggested in Section 1 (p.58)
and sub-section 6 that the satellites formed before the planets and that they
originally formed three broad rings (annuli)
of objects about protoJupiter. The
inner ring consisted of small, light density satellites, the first bodies
(other than comets) to be ejected.
Assuming only one collided with a larger body, the Earth, - and this is
a conservative assumption – then there were originally 14 objects with a mean
orbital radius about protoJupiter of about 2.5x the radius of Jupiter. The middle ring consisted of the three
heaviest satellites – Io, Moon, and Europa – and had a mean orbital radius of
about 7.746x the radius of Jupiter (Dimensions from Section 1.). Finally, the outer ring consisted of five
satellites of large to medium size, of medium density, and had a mean orbital
radius of about 21.313x the radius of Jupiter.
The outer and inner ring satellites consisted dominantly of “ice”, while
the middle ring satellites consisted mainly of silicates. (Increasing silicate content: Europa to Moon
to Io?).
Using these dimensions and the approximate
formula v = (GM/a)1/2 for determining the orbital speeds of the
satellites we obtain:
Rad. Orbit Circum. Orbit Orbit speed Time of revoln
km. km. kmsec-1 sec.
Inner ring 179750
1129403 27.23 41476
Middle ring 556937
3499338
15.47
226202
Outer ring 1532405 9628385 9.33 1031981
The mass of protoJupiter was different for
each case of ejection – Mars, Earth, Venus – being 2199.78x1024,
2107.2x1024, and 1999x1024 kg respectively. (The
three figures are incorrect by +100.
The value for Jupiter given by Cole (1990) was being used at the time of
writing. The difference on subtracting
100 leads to little alteration and, considering the approximations used
throughout, does not change the argument presented.)
The probability of collision and capture of
a satellite by each of the terrestrial satellites (read planets) (Mercury is ignored) will be carried out first for
Mars, then Earth, and finally Venus.
Inner Ring of Satellites.
Mars:
Diameter of planet 6796 km.
Say width of contact (without changing the trajectory of the satellite)
is 7000 km. Time taken for Mars to
travel 7000 km = 7000/(24.1 – 12.9) = 625 sec. Time of revolution of one satellite
about protoJupiter (average) = 41476 sec. Chance of impact therefore is 1 in 41476/625 = 1 in 66.36.
But at the time of Mars’ ejection there
were a minimum of seven satellites in this ring, possibly nine if Mars’ present
moons were captured here, and as many as sixteen if Saturn had not yet captured
its low density satellites. That is,
the chance of colliding with a satellite of the inner ring was approximately 1
in 9.48 or 1 in 7.37 or 1 in 4.15.
Actually, the odds would be somewhat better than these.
Now consider the force law. As an approximation assume that for Mars and
protoJupiter at the Mars ejection stage
GMpJm/apJ2 = GMMm/aM2,
where m is the mass of the satellite, apJ the distance of the
satellite from the centre of protoJupiter, and aM the distance of
the satellite from the centre of Mars.
Then substituting values gives: Gx2199.78x1024/1797502
= Gx0.64x1024/aM2
So aM =
(0.64x1797502/2199.780)1/2 =
3065.98, say 3066 km.
Without taking into account prograde or
retrograde motions of the present Mars satellites, satellite capture would
probably have taken place over a total distance of nearly 2x3066 = 6132 km.
Note that 6132 km is less than the
collision width. This suggests that a
satellite would need to virtually touch Mars to be captured. (Remember, no account has been made of
satellite trajectory change due to the nearness of the planet.) The chances of collision or capture are then
about 1 in 9.5 (1:8.5) 1 in 7.5 (1:6.5) or 1 in 4.25 (1:3.25).
Mars would then have passed through the
middle and outer rings of satellites of protoJupiter, but Mars’s small mass and
the scarcity of satellites in the two rings makes capture or collision unlikely
to have happened (about 1 in 44 for the middle ring). The chance of collision or capture at the inner ring was,
however, quite high.
Earth
After Mars, of the terrestrial planets came
Earth.
The diameter of the Earth = 12756 km. The possible collided satellite
diameter = 1120 km. The possible width
therefore = 13876 km. Time taken for
Earth to travel 13900 km = 13876/(29.8 – 12.9) = 821.07 say 821 sec.
Again, collision, here, does not take into
account the changing of the trajectory of a near satellite, i.e. the following
calculation is conservative.
Time of revolution of one satellite about
protoJupiter = 41476 sec. Chance of
impact therefore = 1 in 41476/821 or 1 in 50.52.
But at the time of Earth’s ejection there
were 7 satellites (assuming one collided) and so the chance of it colliding
with a satellite of the inner ring was 1 in 7.2.
Venus
In a like way as for Earth (above) the
width of the contact zone for a Venus collision = 13220 km. Time taken for Venus to travel 13220
km =
13220/(35.0 – 12.9) = 598.2, say 598 sec. i.e. chance of impact 41476/598 or 1in 69.36.
But if it is assumed that Earth did not
collide with an inner ring satellite, and Uranus had captured its five low
density satellites from the ring, then only two satellites remained and the
chance of collision was 1 in 34.68.
In total, assuming nine satellites were
present for Mars, seven present for Earth, and one present for Venus, there
would be about a 1 in 3.5 chance (i.e. 1:2.5) chance of a collision of one of
the terrestrial planets with a satellite of the inner ring – and this is a
conservative estimate. A better than
28% chance.
Now consider the force law for Earth and
Venus, as applied for Mars, on the three rings of satellites.
Inner ring
Earth GMpJm/apJ2 = GME/aE2 Substituting values: 2107.2/1797502 5.98/aE2 and aE = 9575.6, say 9576 km.
Again not taking into account prograde or
retrograde motion of a captured satellite, the total effective distance would
be approximately 2x9576 = say 19150 km.
The Earth moved across the ring at (29.8 –
12.9) kmsec-1 and so was capable of capturing a satellite for
19150/(29.8-12.9) = 1133.14, say 1133 sec.
And as the satellite average speed in this ring was 27.23 kmsec-1 and a
satellite at this speed takes 41476 sec for one revolution about protoJupiter then
the opportunity for capture of one satellite was 1 in 41476/1133 or 1 in
36.61. For the seven satellites then
present the chance of capture of one was 1 in 5.23.
Venus
In a similar way, aV = (4.87x1797502/1999)1/2 =
8872.1 say 8872 km. and effective capture distance would have been 17744
km.
Venus moved across the ring at (35.0 –
12.9) kmsec-1 and so was capable of capturing a satellite for
17744/(35.0-12.9) = 802.90 say 803 sec., so the opportunity for the capture of only
one satellite was 1 in 41476/803 or 1 in 51.65. If it is assumed that Earth did not capture a satellite from this
ring then there would have been two satellites remaining and the chance of
capture of a satellite by Venus would have been 1 in 25.8.
Middle ring
Consider only capture.
Earth Applying the force equation 2107.2/5569372 = 5.98/aE2 so aE = 29669.1, say 29670 km.
Again, not taking into account whether the
satellite has prograde or retrograde motion the total effective distance would
have been 59340 km.
The Earth took 59340/(29.8-12.9) = 3511.24,
say 3511 sec. To cross the ring and as the average satellite speed in this ring
was 15.47 kmsec-1 and at this speed took 226202 sec for one
revolution about protoJupiter then the opportunity for capture of one satellite
was 1 in 226202/3511 or 1 in 64.43. But
if three satellites existed in this ring then there was a 1 in 21.5 chance of
capture of a satellite.
(An important point in the possible Earth
capture of a middle ring satellite is that Uranus did not capture one. This suggests, if the hypothesis is correct,
that the satellites were on the Earth-side of protoJupiter as Uranus crossed
the ring. This could raise the chance
of Earth capture to 1 in 7 or even better.
And again, this is a conservative figure.) (See other more recent
papers in this website discussing the capture of Moon by Earth and Titan by
Saturn.
Venus In a similar way, aV
= (4.87x5569372/1999)1/2 = 27489.3, say 27490 km. To cross the ring Venus took
54980/35.0-12.9) = 2487.78, say 2488 sec.
And as a satellite took 226202 sec. for one revolution about
protoJupiter then the opportunity for capture of a satellite was 1 in
226202/2488 or 1 in 90.92. If it is
assumed that Earth did not capture a satellite from this ring then there would
have been a 1 in 30.3 chance of capture of a satellite by Venus.
Outer ring
Earth The force equation becomes 2107.2/15324052 =
5.98/aE2, so aE = 81634.0 km.
Again not taking into account prograde or
retrograde motion of a captured satellite the total effective distance would be
163268 km.
As for the middle ring the time for Earth
to move across the ring was 163268/(29.8-12.9) = 9660.83, say 9661 sec., and as
a satellite in this ring took 1031981 sec to complete one revolution about
protoJupiter then the opportunity for capture of one satellite in the ring was
1 in 1031981/9661 or 1 in 106.82.
But in the outer ring at that time there
were 4 satellites so the chance of capture was 1 in 26.7.
Venus In a similar way,
aV = (4.98x15324052)1/2 = 76486.0 km,
or an effective distance of 152972 km.
The time for Venus to move across the ring
was 152972/(35.0-12.9) = 6921.81. say 6922 sec. and so the opportunity for
capture of one satellite was 1 in 1031981/7922 or 1 in 149.09. Assuming that 4 satellites were still
present in the ring, the chance of capture of one of them by Venus was 1 in
37.3. But if 3 satellites existed, i.e.
Neptune had already captured Triton, then the chance was 1 in 49.7.
(It
has since been shown that Triton did not form at the same time as the “medium”
density satellites. However, the time
between the two events was small and it has been given in a more recent paper
in the website what almost certainly did occur. F.L.)
From the above figures we can say that the
chance of collision or capture of an inner ring satellite by one of the
terrestrial planets (Mercury ignored) was 1 in 2.74 (This figure assumes that
Mars captured two satellites.); for a satellite in the middle ring 1 in 12.6;
and for a satellite in the outer ring 1 in 15.6.
From the above calculations the possibility
of one satellite in the whole system being captured by one of the terrestrial
planets was about 1 in 2, at least, and probably much better. The probability of four collisions or
captures, i.e. two for Mars and two for Earth, at the periods of densest
satellite populations is therefore quite high.
And no account has been made in the calculations for possible satellites
that collided with the giant planets, or were ejected from the Solar System, or
for the effect of ring widths, or as mentioned above concerning the middle ring
the satellites being possibly clustered on the terrestrial side of protoJupiter
at the time of Earth passing, etc.
It appears to the writer viewing the
calculations that it was highly probable that the Earth suffered a collision by
an inner ring satellite, so that the explanation for the Earth’s high water
content given in sub-section 3(e) is perfectly feasible.
A
last comment. In the above attempted
explanation for the abundance of water on the Earth I made the assumption and
accepted that the colliding “icy” satellite had a S.G. of about 1.715. And in my determination at a later time of
the S.G .of Planet X (or satellite X) I calculated its S.G. of about
1.529. I was not happy with the order of the values. I believed, without proof, that the figures should be reversed
and in my latest paper on Planet X came to the conclusion that it was Planet X
that had the higher figure of 1.715 or there abouts. This is more consonant with the order of ejection for if the
“medium icy” sequence of bodies was Ganymede, Titan, Callisto, and Satellite X
then the n values sequence in the formula 2x0.981+n should be +2,
+4, +6, and for Body X +8 so the S.G. of Planet X should be about
1.715. See the latest Planet X paper in
this web site.
Also,
for a small,
dominantly H2O-containing “icy” satellite it appears to me that its
S.G. should be moderately low; a value below 1.7 would be more likely to be
expected; a value nearer, say, S.G.1.5.
That is, the missing value of n = 14 (= 1.529). I am not inclined to study the matter
further but am certain that both events took place closely as described. F.L.,
2009.